Friday, May 18, 2012

We think that Europe's complications up coming 12 months with the 2


We think that Europe's complications up coming 12 months with the 2, March will erupt again, since so that you just can existing credit debt price blended using the 2, March the maturity from the credit debt scale, the" Ponzi game" incredibly complicated to continue. however the outbreak potency depends upon numerous factors: the latest significant country wide policy; through the latest towards feb European traditional bank deleveraging process, if at this phase the European traditional bank leverage to some bigger scale, the consumer banking turmoil could be fairly moderate, and vice versa. since the latest left for Europe as nicely as the planet 's options are limited: the initiative to leverage or waiting for your traditional bank turmoil passive to lever. No topic what type of choice, the outcome could be the same, all kinds of assets ( money except) selling price will fall in unique degree, the option of unique rhythm.

Combination from the above views, the writer suggests traders through the latest place till 20122 earlier slowly layout brief commercial steel ( specially suggested copper ), till the amount of fairly big danger gatherings ( large traditional bank takeover or bankruptcy ) in the outbreak from the surplus ( in the beginning anticipated to complete in 2012 4, May), attempt to stroll in the front from the curve. though the crude essential oil need with the earliest quarter of 2012will be also matter to worldwide financial slump and seasonal factors, but for geopolitical reasons, the earliest half of 2012crude essential oil development or powerful in commercial metal, therefore utilizing crude essential oil since the primary raw materials of plastic material or steel decreases or less.

The earliest half of 2012, the general selling price of agricultural programs or could be powerful in commercial products. In agricultural products, wheat along with other grain selling price or more powerful than other agricultural products, for instance sugar. In addition, the habit prior to created of gold hedge hedge or traders ought to be specially vigilant with the procedure to leverage to effect the selling price of gold, if European financial institutions with the deleveraging procedure quantities of gold to market or have considerable correlation with difficult currency, could possibly be the selling price type apparent undesirable impact.

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